Visualization of Possible Coalitions

The party with the most votes has not necessarily won the election. Instead parties are forced to form coalitions.

In political systems like Germany, where we have no party getting anything near 50% of the votes, the usual one-bar-per-party bar charts (shown on the right) totally fail answering this most important question.

The alternative visualization below fixes this!

On the right the impossible coalitions are shown for comparison.

The numbers above the bars show how many seats are missing for a majority.

The left side shows what governing coalitions are arithmetically feasible. We also included politically unlikely coalitions such as SPD-LINKE or the Jamaica coalition. The numbers above the bars show the number of seats the coalition has in excess of the majority.

* Select election forecast:
ARD / Infratest Dimap:   23:20   22:47   22:19   21:45   21:09   19:54   19:20   19:05   18:37   18:13  
ZDF / Forschungsgr. Wahlen:   22:51   21:45   20:55   20:09   19:39   19:23   19:01   18:45   18:16